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March 12, 2025
Almond and pistachio updates
Almond and pistachio prices hold at slightly profitable levels.
North American and European kernel demand, particularly among pollinizer varieties, is holding strong while inshell demand from India has tapered off due to seasonality. Price spreads between different nut grades have narrowed significantly and may be incentivizing some to prioritize selling lower quality supply. Some orchards, particularly in northern growing regions, experienced a light bloom due to relatively warm weather last season, insufficient chill nights and/or reduced fertilizer applications. There is a national shortage of bees this season and while some were concerned about the impact to almond production, it appears most growers were not impacted. While still early, most expect an average to slightly below average 2025-26 crop size, which should support prices next marketing season.
Pistachio prices are holding at slightly profitable levels. Most expect a large, good quality 2025-26 crop due to alternate bearing and 500,000 young acres coming into production. With little to no carry-over from the 2024-25 crop and stable demand, prices should remain steady over the next year. Early bud set creates a risk factor, with the potential of frost or excess precipitation impacting yields and/or quality.
Profitability
March 12, 2025
Almonds: Slightly profitable - Bullish 12-month outlook
Pistachios: Slightly profitable - Neutral 12-month outlook
Almond prices should continue to improve on strengthening North American and European demand.
A good quality 2025 crop, minimal inventory carry-over and strong demand should continue to support prices.
